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Vikings vs. Lions: Week 7 NFL Picks & Game Predictions

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Jasons 2019 NFL picks 4-4 ATS, 3-2 Totals

What if we told you the Minnesota Vikings have been the group in the NFL? Hey, do not look at us: Football Outsiders have Minnesota rated No. 4 at DVOA (No. 5 offense, No. 6 shield, No. 14 specific teams) heading into Week 7. Oh, and all of that moaning over QB Kirk Cousins doesnt hold water. Hes No. 8 overall in death DVOA, three areas better than Aaron Rodgers. Numbers dont lie.

Speaking of figures, the under-appreciated Vikings (4-2 SU and ATS) might have some gambling value as 1-point road faves for Sundays game against the Detroit Lions (2-2-1 SU, 4-1 ATS). However, these NFC North teams happen to be rewarding thus far. We might get more value from theunder now that the amount has moved out of 44 to as high as 46 on the NFL likelihood board.
Before we break down our selections, lets make sure we are on the Perfect track by Taking a Look at the projections:

FiveThirtyEight: Minnesota –two
Jeff Sagarin: Minnesota –5.99, 44.76 complete

As we guessed. There is gain margin to work with for your spread, which can be standard to get the NFL regular-season game if you go with Nate Silvers crew. Jeff Sagarins amounts are somewhat more bullish on Minnesota; we are quoting his eigenvector disperse, but his recent spread for your Vikes is –2.94, that gets us close to that 2-point margin we are searching for. Note that we are very near the number 3 also.

Needless to say, if we are serious about investing, we need to jump on these opening lines when they are within our favor. The Vikings opened as a pickem at once again — but just at $58 a soda , based on the enlarged consensus reports prior to the sharps up them. Small perimeter.
On-line proceed to the complete is intriguing. Team scoring is down from 23.3 points per game last year to 22.4, and thebelow is currently 49-43 (53.3 percent) across the league, therefore auto-betting that theabove to your NFL picks does not hold water right today — unless you are convinced therell be some regression to the expression, possibly from the kicking game.

Also, the matchup on the ground factors toward a lower scoring match. The Lions rank No. 14 total in DVOA, but only No. 21 on offense in comparison to No. 12 on protection (and second on specific teams). Then you have all that running around the Vikings dotheyre fourth in attempts this year.
When it comes to that complete, though we are looking at a window between the projections and the odds. Lets follow the sharps, place Minnesota in our selections and as always, will the prolate spheroid be with you.

Free NFL Pick: Vikings –1 (–105) in 5Dimes

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